Sequester and Automatic Spending Cuts are Days Away But Majorities Of Americans Oppose Cuts
Written by Harris Interactive
25 February 2013
Sequester and Automatic Spending Cuts are Days Away But Majorities Of Americans Oppose Cuts In Many Big Ticket Items - More than three in ten U.S. adults want increases in spending for education and health care
NEW YORK, Feb. 25, 2013 -- In just a few days the federal government will begin to alert federal employees about upcoming furloughs and cutting programs to come up with the mandatory spending cuts that go into effect with the sequester on March 1st. And, while there have always been discussions on cutting the government, a new Harris Poll finds that only rather small minorities of the public want to cut most of the biggest federal government programs.
Only 12% of the public want to see a cut in Social Security payments, 19% want to cut federal aid to education and 23% want to cut federal health care programs. In fact, over three in ten U.S. adults want to see increases in spending for education (37%) and health care (31%). The only programs of the 20 listed in the poll that half or more of Americans want to cut are foreign economic aid (77%), foreign military aid (74%), spending by regulatory agencies (55%), subsidies to business (54%), federal welfare spending (51%), and the space program (50%). In fact, almost half (49%) would favor a major cut in foreign economic aid and 45% would favor a major cut in foreign military aid.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,278 U.S. adults surveyed online between January 17 and 22, 2013 by Harris Interactive.
Americans are evenly divided on defense spending, with 46% saying they favor a cut and the same percentage saying they would oppose a cut in defense spending. Just under half of U.S. adults (49%) oppose a cut in the food stamp program while 44% would favor a cut.
Trends over time The Harris Poll first asked these questions thirty-two years ago, in 1980, towards the end of Jimmy Carter's presidency. At that time, substantially more people wanted to cut all these areas of government spending than do today. For example, 23% wanted to cut Social Security payments (compared to 12% now), 65% wanted to cut spending on food stamps (compared to 44% now), and 59% wanted to cut Federal highway financing (compared to 26% now). The only outlier is defense spending. In 1980, 34% of Americans wanted to cut defense spending, while today 46% want to cut it.
The Different Opinions of Republicans and Democrats Unsurprisingly, Democrats and Republicans have somewhat different opinions on these issues. More Republicans than Democrats want to cut almost all of these programs. For example, Republicans are much more likely to favor cutting federal welfare spending (74% compared to 32%), food stamps (67% vs. 27%), federal housing programs (57% vs. 24%), pollution control (52% vs. 20%), and health care (41% vs. 9%). On the other hand, Democrats are much more in favor of cutting defense spending (61% vs. 21%) and space programs (53% vs. 44%) than are Republicans.
The only area where there is agreement is on foreign military aid – three-quarters of both Republicans (75%) and Democrats (74%) favor cuts in this area.
So What? It's clear that Americans have some clear feelings on what programs they believe should and, more importantly, should not be cut. However, the sequester is something that will hit this week across the board, with ALL agencies having to feel the burden of spending cuts. As programs that impact their daily lives are hit, will Americans change their feelings on some of these areas?
TABLE 1 CUTTING GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS "Below is a list of different areas of federal government spending. For each, please indicate if you would favor a major cut in spending, a minor cut, no cut at all, or would you increase spending in this area?"
Base: All Adults
FAVOR
CUT
(NET)
Major
cut
Minor
cut
OPPOSE
CUT
(NET)
No cut in
Spending
Increase in spending
Not at
all
sure
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Foreign economic aid
77
49
28
15
12
3
8
Foreign military aid
74
45
30
17
14
3
9
Spending by the regulatory
agencies generally
55
25
29
30
24
5
16
Subsidies to business
54
25
29
36
30
6
10
Federal welfare spending
51
26
24
42
34
8
7
Space programs
50
23
27
41
28
14
9
Defense spending
46
19
26
46
33
13
8
The food stamp program
44
21
23
49
36
12
7
Federal housing programs
40
16
25
51
37
14
9
Farm subsidies
40
17
23
50
37
13
11
Federally funded scientific research programs
37
13
24
53
36
17
9
Spending for mass transportation
34
12
23
56
36
20
10
Pollution control
33
12
21
58
41
17
9
Federal aid to cities
31
8
23
59
46
14
10
Federal job training programs
31
10
20
61
40
21
8
Federal highway financing
26
4
22
65
44
21
9
Revenue sharing with states and cities
25
8
17
59
47
12
16
Health care
23
11
12
69
38
31
8
Federal aid to education
19
7
11
73
36
37
8
Social security payments
12
4
9
80
52
28
8
Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 2 CUTTING GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS BY POLITICAL PARTY "Below is a list of different areas of federal government spending. For each, please indicate if you would favor a major cut in spending, a minor cut, no cut at all, or would you increase spending in this area?" Summary of those saying "Favor major cut" or "Favor minor cut"
Base: All Adults
Total
Political Party
Rep.
Dem.
Ind.
%
%
%
%
Foreign economic aid
77
85
72
80
Foreign military aid
74
75
74
77
Spending by the regulatory agencies generally
55
70
44
58
Subsidies to business
54
57
47
60
Federal welfare spending
51
74
32
56
Space programs
50
44
53
54
Defense spending
46
21
61
47
The food stamp program
44
67
27
48
Federal housing programs
40
57
24
48
Farm subsidies
40
41
33
47
Federally funded scientific research programs
37
48
29
40
Spending for mass transportation
34
50
25
36
Pollution control
33
52
20
35
Federal aid to cities
31
43
20
35
Federal job training programs
31
43
20
33
Federal highway financing
26
30
24
26
Revenue sharing with states and cities
25
32
19
27
Health care
23
41
9
26
Federal aid to education
19
31
8
22
Social security payments
12
20
7
13
Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 3 CUTTING SPECIFIC GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS – TREND "Below is a list of different areas of federal government spending. For each, please indicate if you would favor a major cut in spending, a minor cut, no cut at all, or would you increase spending in this area?" Summary of those saying "favor a major cut" or "favor a minor cut"
Base: All Adults
Favor Cut (NET)
Change 1980-
2013
1980
2008
2011
2012
2013
%
%
%
%
%
%
Foreign economic aid
82
74
75
79
77
-5
Foreign military aid
77
69
69
74
74
-3
Spending by the regulatory agencies generally
72
53
56
56
55
-17
Subsidies to business
69
62
51
57
54
-15
Federal welfare spending
69
52
51
52
51
-18
Space programs
66
49
54
52
50
-16
Defense spending
34
35
41
42
46
+12
The food stamp program
65
43
40
43
44
-21
Federal housing programs
54
39
41
40
40
-14
Farm subsidies
53
44
42
42
40
-13
Federally funded scientific research programs
51
35
42
40
37
-14
Spending for mass transportation
42
28
35
35
34
-8
Pollution control
49
22
37
37
33
-16
Federal aid to cities
58
33
34
33
31
-27
Federal job training programs
NA
NA
NA
32
31
NA
Federal highway financing
59
24
31
25
26
-33
Revenue sharing with states and cities
53
30
28
26
25
-28
Health care
37
12
24
22
23
-14
Federal aid to education
37
17
21
21
19
-18
Social security payments
23
8
11
12
12
-11
Note: Please note that in 1980, this survey was conducted by telephone
Methodology This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United Statesbetween January 17 and 22, 2012 among 2,278 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
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The Harris Poll®#8, February 25, 2013 By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll and Public Relations, Harris Interactive
About Harris Interactive Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll® and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers proprietary solutions in the areas of market and customer insight, corporate brand and reputation strategy, and marketing, advertising, public relations and communications research. Harris possesses expertise in a wide range of industries including health care, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Additionally, Harris has a portfolio of multi-client offerings that complement our custom solutions while maximizing our client's research investment. Serving clients in more than 196 countries and territories through our North American and European offices, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us - and our clients—stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
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